Friday 006 Italian Super Cup: Juventus vs AC Milan
Juventus has achieved 7 wins and 11 draws in 18 rounds, ranking 6th with too many draws restricting the team's improvement. Currently, the team is 9 points behind the top Atalanta, and the title race remains fierce. In the first 10 home games of the league this season, there have been 7 draws. Looking at the current injury situation of Juventus, the main defender Bremer, the rotational forward Milik, and the main defender Caval are all out due to injuries.
AC Milan has only managed 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses in 17 rounds, temporarily ranking 8th. The team's performance has been average, leading to the dismissal of head coach Fonseca, who was replaced by former Porto coach Conceicao. The team aims to secure a spot in the UEFA Champions League group stage. In this season's Champions League, the team has achieved 4 wins and 2 losses in the first 6 rounds, with a promising qualification situation. From the injury situation of AC Milan, the main striker Leao, the main defender Florenzi, the rotational forwards Jovic and Okafka, as well as the main midfielder Musa are all out due to injuries.
As old rivals, Juventus and AC Milan are very familiar with each other. In the last four encounters, Juventus has achieved 1 win and 3 draws, remaining unbeaten and slightly superior. Looking at the data, Juventus made a shallow concession on neutral ground, which can be considered a reflection of their hard strength. However, recently their attacking ability has been average, coupled with poor defense. After the coaching change in Milan, there should be some improvements, especially in training where Conceicao mainly focuses on defense, even practicing penalties. I am optimistic about Milan's unbeaten regular time.
This game's perspective: Draw or Loss
Details: 0-0/1-1
Number of goals: 0/2
First half/second half: Draw-Draw
Friday 011 Portuguese League: Guimaraes VS Sporting Lisbon
Guimaraes has achieved 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses in the league this season, earning 24 points and ranking 6th. They have a 90% unbeaten rate at home this season, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. They have a very stable offensive efficiency. In the last game, Guimaraes drew 2:2 away from home, having drawn with opponents in four consecutive games. This team likes to use a 442 formation, preferring to infiltrate through the center and create scoring opportunities with short passes.
Sporting Lisbon has achieved 13 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the league this season, earning 40 points and ranking first. Their away win rate can reach 75%, averaging three goals scored per game with a very stable offensive efficiency. In the last game, the team defeated their title rival Benfica 1:0. Katai scored the team's only goal in the first half. This team likes to use a 4231 formation, preferring to infiltrate through the center and create scoring opportunities with short passes.
In the past few seasons, the two teams have met ten times, with Sporting Lisbon winning eight times, holding an absolute advantage in the head-to-head record. This game's data gives a support of 0.5 for the away team. Guimaraes has recently suffered four consecutive draws, while Sporting Lisbon's away form has declined recently. In this encounter, the space for the upper plate is insufficient, and the force of 0.5 medium-low profit is not enough to support a big upper plate. Therefore, the home team still has appeal. With Sporting Lisbon's desire to bounce back, a clean victory by one goal is not too difficult. So this game supports Sporting Lisbon to win away.
This game's perspective: Loss
Details: 1-2/1-3
Number of goals: 3/4
First half/second half: Loss-Loss/Draw-Loss